Archive for the ‘CFTC’ Category

Silver Eagle Sales Set Record Pace

Posted by on April 23rd 2014 in CFTC, China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, Goldman Sachs, Janet Yellen, Monetary Policy, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

 SilverEagleSales

Gold and silver futures finished mixed on Tuesday, with silver up a cent and gold off about 7 dollars to hit its lowest level since mid-February. Gold was said to have been spared a deeper drop by an upgrade of the precious metals mining sector from “sell” to “neutral” by two Goldman Sachs’ analysts. And also on Tuesday, reports Coin News, “bullion Silver Eagle coins topped 17.3 million in year-to-date sales. The series has been around since 1986 and sales have never been as high during the January through April 22 period. Tuesday is the first time that Silver Eagle sales surpassed those from last year which were at 17,291,000 on the 22nd.”

See also:

Jesse’s Café Américain/Zero Hedge:  Gold and silver charts – Hotel California; Gold tumbles to 2-month lows… because It’s Tuesday

Reuters:  E-trading pulls gold into forex units as commodity desks shrink

SilverSeek/Pater Tenebrarum: Silver up and S&P down;  Gold looks ugly, but the dollar looks uglier

The Daily BellReuters analysis -Printing money is more important than ever for Yellen

Confounded Interest:  Bernanke: QE was for “The man on the street” (Wall Street, that is!)

Yahoo Finance/Of Two Minds:  The astounding power of “economic elites”; The political poison of vested interests

Gallup: 24% Still See Gold as Best Long-Term Buy

Posted by on April 22nd 2014 in CFTC, China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, Media, Monetary Policy, Russia, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

GallupGold2014

“The mainstream media, for whatever reason, continues to believe that it can scare potential gold owners away with its consistently negative coverage,” writes USA Gold’s Michael Kosares. “but as a recent Gallup Poll suggests, such tactics no longer work all that well. That poll ranks gold the second best option among long-term investments behind real estate and tied with stocks. What makes gold’s poll performance interesting is that it reflects public opinion on gold after a more than two year decline that began in 2011 and at a time when real estate and stocks have enjoyed strong performances…. Polls notoriously reflect the ebb and flow of public opinion and for gold to still rank second after a two year drought indicates a swing in the public’s long-term attitude toward gold.”

See also:

GoldSeek/Coin News:  Gold and silver end slightly lower; Gold falls, US Mint 5 oz silver bullion coins temporarily sell out

Dan Norcini:  Gold holds $1280 support – Remains rangebound

Zero Hedge/Hard Assets Investor:  China goes dark: PBOC to keep goldbugs clueless about its gold buying spree

Steve St. Angelo/TF Metals Report:  Silver continues to drain from the Shanghai Futures Exchange; The empty vaults of London

Reuters/Bloomberg:  Ukraine peace deal falters as rebels show no sign of surrender; Why Putin isn’t scared by $115 billion of debt

New York Sun/Demo MemoPikkety’s gold?   When did men’s income peak?

May Flowers for Gold and Silver?

Posted by on April 18th 2014 in CFTC, China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, Monetary Policy, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

MayFlowersForMetals?

With the COMEX closed for Good Friday, gold and silver ended down almost two percent on the week, but gold is said to be “nearing the end of a bottoming pattern,” according to a financial advisor quoted by MarketWatch, although, “it will need to break out above $1,400 before most traders will be convinced that gold has started a new bull market.”  He adds that the precious metals sector “is now under-owned and could experience another explosive rally once this bottoming pattern is complete.  This could happen soon especially if the U.S. dollar rally is short lived and the equity markets experience a seasonal…’Sell in May and go away‘ decline.”

See also:

Coin News:  Gold, silver fall on week; U.S. Mint bullion coins quicken

SilverSeek/SafeHaven:  Precious metals market report; Gold and silver triggers

IRD/SafeHaven:  Several factors suggest a big move is coming for gold

Zero Hedge:  If the smart money is selling stocks, who’s buying?; The great stock buyback craze is finally ending

GoldCore/CNBC:  85% of pension funds will go bust within 30 years; Bridgewater – Outlook for pensions is pretty awful

Paper Gains Slow; Bullion Sales Grow

Posted by on April 17th 2014 in CFTC, China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, India, JPMorgan, Media, Monetary Policy, Russia, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

PaperSlowsBullionGrows

Gold and silver futures added a fraction of a percent on Wednesday, with gold benefiting from “some mild short covering and bargain hunting,” according to one analyst cited by Coin News, which also reports “another day of wide bullion gains,” based on numbers from the U.S. Mint, “adding to already strong figures with sales so far this week at 13,500 ounces in gold coins and 1,122,000 ounces in silver coins. Those top last week sales of 9,000 ounces in gold coins and 1,050,500 ounces in silver coins.”

Dan Norcini sees gold “being batted back and forth between two opposing forces at the moment. The negative force continues to be the slowing Chinese economy with traders fearing a slackening of demand from that key consumer. The positive is escalating tensions in the eastern part of Ukraine.” Bloomberg quotes one commodities broker as saying that “As long as there’s uncertainty in Russia, having some exposure to gold makes sense. With the selloff yesterday, it seems like cheaper insurance today.”

See also:

Tim Iacono/MinewebReuters omits the grey areas about China gold demand;  China gold blogger Jansen sticks by demand figures

WSJ:  India continues to bring home the gold despite import restrictions

SilverSeek:  David Morgan interview on silver market, silver price manipulation & the coming global monetary reset

Michael Pento/Wall Street on Parade:  Fed rigs markets, not the Flash Boys; Insiders tell all: Both the stock market & the SEC are rigged

Zero Hedge:  Atlanta Fed asks “Where are the jobs“; Dallas Fed’s Fisher admits, “Fed policies have made the rich much richer

Metals Drop as Investors Shrug Off Ukraine

Posted by on April 16th 2014 in CFTC, China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, Goldman Sachs, Monetary Policy, Russia, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

UkraineWeHardlyKnewYee

After being “monkey-hammered early on,” gold and silver “limped back higher” to close down 1.8% and 2% respectively on Tuesday, despite a ratcheting up of Ukraine tensions. Gold was “hit by profit-taking as the rally to $1,330 on Fed minutes appeared overdone,” according to one precious metals trader, who added that “The break below 200-day moving average and $1,300 level also triggered tons of sell-stops.” Another factor weighing on gold was said to be “speculation that a gain in U.S. consumer prices will give the Federal Reserve more leeway to reduce monetary stimulus.”

And citing a World Gold Council report on “China’s gold market,” USA Gold points out that also on Tuesday, “the market was worried by the WGC’s opinion that Chinese demand in 2014 might fall short of the “exceptional” demand seen in 2013. The WGC expects 2014 to be ‘a year of consolidation.’ While speculators might view a protracted period of consolidation as a reason to look for yield elsewhere, most buyers of physical gold [and silver] are not speculators. They buy gold for the purpose of long-term wealth preservation. In that frame of reference, steady or even lower prices are a gift, allowing one to accumulate gold weight without chasing ever-rising prices.”

See also:

Dan Norcini/Zero Hedge:  World Gold Council report pressuring gold; Gold futures halted again on latest furious slamdown

Tim Iacono/GoldSeek:  Gold sell-off reminiscent of a year ago

BullionVault/Mineweb:  Silver prices “ready to break out” as futures betting jumps to pre-crash level; USGS – U.S. mined silver output continues to fall

CNBC:  Can gold confound the markets and hit $1,400?

Steve St. Angelo/Bloomberg:  Goldman Sachs is highly motivated to low-ball the price of gold

 

Broker: Gold as Safe Haven Now ‘More than Ever’

Posted by on April 15th 2014 in CFTC, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, Monetary Policy, Quants, Russia, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

SafetyFirst

As stocks snapped back on Monday, gold and silver added a fraction of a percent, with gold hitting a three-week high, reports Reuters. It cites an increase in gold’s safe-haven appeal, which it attributes to “growing violence between pro-Russian separatists and Ukrainian government forces, and news that a Russian fighter aircraft made repeated low-altitude, close-range passes near a U.S. ship in the Black Sea over the weekend.” The article also quotes a commodities broker who advises that “the need to have some gold in investment portfolios for safety now is more than ever. A lot of people don’t necessarily trust the stock market at the moment.”

See also:

USA Gold:  Gold gains on geopolitical tensions, threats of ECB policy reaction to strong euro

Financial Times/Wall Street Journal:  ECB policymakers plot QE road map; Central bankers to world – Take our currencies, please

SilverSeek/GATASilver’s ultimate rally – When paper assets collapse; Silver is in backwardation and Comex prices are misleading, James Turk tells KWN

Bloomberg:  CME Group sued on claims high-frequency traders bought access

LA Times/Pulitzer.orgWashington Post, Guardian win Pulitzers for NSA-spying revelations; Complete list of winners, with links to the original articles

Metals Seen Supported by Fed, Stock Drop

Posted by on April 12th 2014 in CFTC, China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Monetary Policy, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

SilverOpenInterest

With gold and silver ending slightly higher on the week, while stocks continued plunging on Friday, Alasdair Macleod writes of a “better tone to precious metals,” which was set by Wednesday’s release of the relatively dovish minutes from March’s FOMC meeting.  He also contrasts gold, “where Comex volume is moderate,” to silver, where “volume is high indicating very strong support at current levels.”  His conclusion is that “bullion banks trying to balance their silver books cannot do so at current prices. Yet higher prices are likely to trigger a vicious bear squeeze, so it appears the bullion banks with short silver positions will remain trapped either way.”

And in reference to the FOMC minutes, MarketWatch quotes one analyst as saying that “the magic of the central bank’s comments is still very strong and this was one of the reasons that we have seen the bounce for gold this week…We think the downside is limited for now and there is more potential for the upside.  Weak earnings coming in so far — and this trend could very well continue next week. This is going to keep the correction going in the equity market and could make the metal more attractive.”

See also:

Jesse’s Café Américain:  Gold and silver charts – Flight to safety continues

Zero Hedge:  Goldman summarizes the rout – “Derisking is the name of the game”; Blythe Masters under investigation by federal prosecutors

Mining.com:   The case for higher U.S. interest rates and higher gold

Bloomberg/In Gold We Trust: Shanghai gold bourse to start lease platform by the end of June;  New physical gold exchange in Singapore

Time/CNN:  Moscow is ‘ready for combat,’ NATO says; Photos ‘show Russian military buildup‘ near Ukraine

Gold and Silver Rally on ‘Dovish’ Fed

Posted by on April 10th 2014 in CFTC, China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Monetary Policy, Quants, Russia, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

MetalsRallyOnDovishFed

Gold and silver finished mixed on Wednesday, but both rallied along with stocks — see “Fed Cat Bounce” — after minutes from last month’s FOMC meeting showed that members seemed less inclined to raise interest rates than previously thought. “The Fed sounds less hawkish than it did last month, which is good for gold,” according to an investment strategist quoted by Bloomberg, who added that the market is nonetheless “confused because there are so many contradicting signals from the Fed.”

Or, as Dan Norcini, under the headline “Dovish Fed sinks US Dollar” describes it:  “Watching them swing from hawkish to dovish in such a short interval makes me understand why our markets are so screwed up. The Fed is consistently changing their assessment of things. That would be just fine and dandy were not the U.S. financial markets addicted to easy money and so utterly dependent on these jokers for their latest fix.”

See also:

Telegraph/Peak Prosperity: China ‘has more gold than official figures show’; China’s demand for gold has trapped the West’s central banks

BullionVault/SilverSeek:  Buying goldandsilver yet?; Real U.S. silver money would consume nearly half of world’s mine supply

J.S. Kim/Zero Hedge:  Bankers are using HFT algos to manipulate gold and silver prices; Put this guy in charge of the SEC

Wall Street on Parade/John Crudele:  Goldman Sachs drops a bombshell on Wall Street: Goldman keeps its “Flash Boys” under wraps

Bloomberg: Global growth threatened in $693 trillion derivatives review

Reuters/AP:  Separatists in east Ukraine call on Putin for help, Kiev warns of force; NATO’s military head – U.S. troops may be sent to Eastern Europe

Jobs # Comes Up Short for Short-Sellers

Posted by on April 5th 2014 in CFTC, China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, IMF, Monetary Policy, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

Mar14JobsShort

Gold and silver were said to have come “roaring off their oversold conditions” after Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report showed that 192,000 jobs were created in March.  Silver futures added 0.7% and gold futures jumped 1.5%, the biggest gain in three weeks, while stocks had what was described as a “brutal finale” to the week. “Everyone had been saying the job number was going to be so much better, but the economy didn’t improve the way investors had expected, and that’s why the short-sellers are covering their positions,” according to BullionVault‘s Miguel Perez-Santalla.  Gold and silver ended up a little less than 1% on the week, with gold closing at $1,303 an ounce and silver at $19.95.  With copper down 0.6% on the week, one analyst tells MarketWatch that “Falling copper prices are preventing the big rise in silver. We prefer to use caution for silver unless there is a convincing break of $20.45.”

See also:

Dan Norcini:  “Disappointing” payrolls number spurs gold buying

Wall Street Journal: The unemployment puzzle – Where have all the workers gone?

Zero Hedge:  Number of high wage jobs added in March: +2,000; The stock market is now exactly as overvalued as it was at the last bubble peak

Peter Schiff:  Meet “lowflation,” deflation’s scary pal

GoldMoney/Express Tribune:  Renewed estimates of Chinese gold demand; Pakistan refuses to sell $2.7 billion worth of gold says IMF

Casey Research/Of Two MindsThe Volcker Rule and you: What’s your bank doing with your money?; My wish for 2016: We finally get a president who doesn’t kiss Wall Street’s rear end

Metals Drop on Euro Weakness vs. USD

Posted by on April 4th 2014 in CFTC, China, Federal Reserve, GATA, General Economy, Gold, Monetary Policy, Quants, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

GoldEuroDollar

In advance of Friday’s jobs report, spot gold and silver fell 0.8% and 0.5% respectively on Thursday, with the drop attributed to the dollar gaining against the euro, which fell 1% as ECB head Mario Draghi spoke at a press conference, in which he said “There was a discussion about QE, it wasn’t neglected.” But USA Gold’s market report points out that “While the dollar firmed intraday, gold did as well, giving a very preliminary indication that a launching of ECB asset purchases may ultimately supplant Fed tapering as the monetary policy story of the year…. the ECB is prepared to contort itself in whatever way deemed necessary to justify such purchases. It is also arguably a testament to the dire nature of Europe’s predicament.”

See also:

Daily Reckoning/Gold Silver WorldsExcess liquidity keeps the global economy afloat; If reflation is here, then gold is your ultimate hedge

Bullion Bulls Canada:  Is there any gold left for central banks to buy?

Coin Update/Coin News:  American Silver Eagle bullion sales jump in March, top 5.3 million

GATAReuters interviews Jim Rickards about gold’s ascent after ‘The Death of Money’; HFT controversy may lead to short squeeze in gold, Tocqueville’s John Hathaway tells KWN

Reuters/Of Two Minds:  U.S. futures regulator CFTC probing speed traders; It’s not just the stock market that’s rigged: the entire status quo is rigged

Gold and Silver Flip AM Script

Posted by on April 3rd 2014 in CFTC, China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, JPMorgan, Media, Monetary Policy, Quants, Russia, Short Sellers, Silver, U.S. Congress, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

MetalsFlipMorningScript

On Wednesday, silver futures gained 1.8% to finish above $20 an ounce for the first time since March 24, and gold futures added 0.8%.  Both went vertical at the open, and as Zero Hedge noted:  “Instead of the smack-down that we have seen around the 8 a.m. ET time each of the last 10 days, today gold and silver are spiking. It is unclear what the catalyst is – just as it is never clear what the catalyst for the monkey-hammerings are – but the timing with Putin’s retaliation threats (specifically against a major bank with a mysteriously active gold vault) suggest some causation.”

See also:

TF Metals Report/IRD:  Putin plays a golden card; The world slowly waves “good-bye” to the petrodollar

Wall St. Cheat Sheet/InvezzHere’s why you should buy silver; Commerzbank – Silver price decline may just be corrective

Peter Schiff/Bill Bonner:  The stealth rally – Gold under the radar;   America’s credit supercycle: The end is near

Reuters:  Bullion market eyes e-platform to revamp London gold benchmark

Bloomberg/Barron’s: Katsuyama, Narang, Lewis debate speed trading; Hedge funds are the real losers from high-speed trading

Mike Shedlock:  Supreme Court removes campaign caps; Worst congress money can bribe; Expect more divisive politics

 

Analyts Diff’r on Gold ‘Sentiment’

Posted by on April 2nd 2014 in CFTC, China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, Janet Yellen, Media, Monetary Policy, Quants, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

AnalystsDiff'rOnGold

With gold and silver futures both slipping 0.3% on Tuesday, as stocks rose on what was described as “a record Fed-assisted window dressing operation,” Bloomberg cites an HSBC note concluding that the “near-term sentiment for gold appears negative,” with its recent decline “largely explained by the combination of receding geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s guidance for higher interest rates.” But according to two precious-metals strategists at UBS, gold’s “correction has been relatively orderly and interest to buy the dip is evident. This reflects the underlying improvement in sentiment towards gold – investors are acknowledging the value of holding gold to diversify portfolios and insure against tail risks and are therefore looking for opportunities to get in at better levels.”

See also:

321goldGold versus Silver

CNBC/Mineweb:  Why gold bears are watching U.S. payrolls; Analyst – Recent gold price decline surprising

John Rubino/Bloomberg:  Debt makes you dumb, Japanese edition; Yellen’s real-life examples of unemployed omit criminal records

New York/Zero Hedge9 gripes from a leading high-frequency trader about “Flash Boys“; HFT debate devolves into epic screamfest in milliseconds

Michael Lewis interviewed on “Fresh Air” and CNBC