Archive for the ‘Gold’ Category

Metals End Mixed; Stock Bear Rips Economy, ‘Moron’ Central Bankers

Posted by on October 24th 2014 in China, Euro, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, Media, Monetary Policy, Silver, USD, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

2015GDPgrowth

Spot silver added 0.6% and gold fell 0.9% on Thursday, as new U.S. unemployment claims held below 300,000 for the sixth straight week, the dollar rallied and the Dow surged on what were seen as strong earnings results.  But according to noted stock “über bear,” Albert Edwards, “The bottom line is that there is far too much over-confidence in the U.S. recovery. Fragile and vulnerable in itself, the U.S. recovery now battles against the rest of the world, which like a horror movie is dragging it down into a hellish Ice Age underworld.”

Armed with the above chart on 2015 GDP growth, Zero Hedge has more on Edwards’ latest warning:  “Simply put, the central banks for all their huffing and puffing cannot eliminate the business cycle. And they should have realized after the 2008 Great Recession that the longer they suppress volatility, both economic and market, the greater the subsequent crash. Will these morons ever learn?

See also:

Peak Prosperity/SafeHaven:  Why gold is undervalued, and poised to re-price upwards; Gold or crushing paper debt

P. Radomski:  Gold & silver trading alert: How will we know that the bottom is in?

SilverSeek/Silver Institute:  October Silver Eagle sales best ever, and with 10 days remaining; Silver investment may increase by one billion ounces over the next decade

Dan Norcini/Bill Bonner:  Gold mining stocks continue to sink; Huge upside in gold miners from here?

GoldSeek:  Chris Powell – The crucial questions financial journalism won’t ask & central banks won’t answer

USA Today/Naked Capitalism:  America’s perpetual state of emergency; The financialization of life

‘Plunge Protection Team’: Everywhere or Nowhere?

Posted by on October 23rd 2014 in Bailout, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, Interest Rates, JPMorgan, Monetary Policy, Short Sellers, Silver, Ted Butler, USD, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

PlungeProtectionTeam

Gold and silver futures ended off 0.5% and 1.8% on Wednesday, with the drop attributed in some quarters to a “firming dollar and subdued inflation,” which an analyst cited by MarketWatch sees as “a normal trading correction.”  And while a post at Jesse’s Café Américain agrees, suggesting that the metals “may have taken a pause at support,” he also finds it “interesting to see them run with stocks today, in the face of some exogenous risk events. They are certainly acting oddly. One has to wonder if this is a related action by the “Plunge Protection Team” which feels free to purchase stocks at key points apparently to help restore confidence.”

David Stockman’s Contra Corner advances the argument that there is a “Plunge Protection Team,” and “It’s called the FOMC.” This as Bloomberg reports that Citigroup analysts “have put a price on how much liquidity central banks need to provide each quarter to stop markets from sliding. By estimating that zero stimulus would be consistent with a 10 percent quarterly drop in equities, they calculate it takes around $200 billion from central banks each quarter to keep markets from selling off.”

Ted Butler has also raised the issue of the “Plunge Protection Team” meddling in the metals, alleging that it gave JPMorgan the greenlight to manipulate the silver market.

Gold Underpinned by ‘Über-Accommodative’ Monetary Policies

Posted by on October 22nd 2014 in China, ECB, Euro, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, India, Interest Rates, Russia, Silver, USD, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

UberGoldSpot gold and silver gained 0.3% and 0.6% respectively on Tuesday, while futures prices doubled up that percentage, on what a Bloomberg article sees as the perception that the Fed will continue its low interest rate policy.  It notes that interest rate futures “indicated the odds of a U.S. increase at about 46.2 percent by October 2015, down from 55 percent a week earlier.” That notion is seconded by a USA Gold market report that gold “remains underpinned by global growth risks and the expectations that the central banks of the world will maintain their über-accommodative policy stances in hopes of mitigating those risks.”  It adds that “The European Central Bank is in the forefront on that meme these days.”

See also:

Coin News/Motley Fool CA:  Gold hits 5-week high, Silver Eagle sales top 36 million; Why silver is poised to hit $50

Mineweb:  Lawrence Williams – Chinese and Indian gold buyers are back in the market in a big way

Arabian Money/DNA India:  Indian religious buying forecast to almost double this season; Mad about yellow – India’s love affair with gold

IB Times/SharelynxRussia’s gold rush: Putin orders gold reserve buying spree to beat Western sanctions

Gold Switzerland/GoldCore:  Will this save the Swiss financial system?; Poll shows pro-gold side in lead at 45%

60 Minutes:  Turning mushroom hunting into gold in the Yukon

Gold Seen as ‘Growth Uncertainty’ Hedge

Posted by on October 21st 2014 in CFTC, China, ECB, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, India, Interest Rates, Janet Yellen, Russia, Short Sellers, USD, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

GDPprojections

Spot gold and silver gained about a half a percent Monday on what MarketWatch describes as a combo platter of “global economic uncertainties and overseas demand.”  It cites an analysis by Sharps Pixley, which observes that “While the sentiment towards gold has been soured given little inflationary pressure, the global equity rout and the on-going geopolitical risks have led to a rising demand for gold as an uncertainty and a portfolio hedge.”

“Concern that economic malaise in Europe will spread has helped revive gold demand,” reports Bloomberg, noting that “The 39 percent jump in net-long positions in futures and options last week was the biggest since June, U.S. data show.” And according to a UBS analyst quoted, “This scenario continues to be supportive for gold, as it allows for more room to rebuild positions in the near term should investor doubts on global growth and uncertainties on the timing of Fed rate hikes linger.”

See also:

Bullion Star/Jesse’s Café Américain: The Chinese precious metals market is on fire; Lower gold prices prompt large BRIC purchases

Bullion Street/Sprout Money:   India’s Diwali festivities could push gold higher; Why the Argentinean situation should make you buy gold

Hard Assets Investor/SilverSeek:  David Morgan on why $17 silver is unsustainable; Why worry about bullion silver?

Fox Business/Zero Hedge:  Jim Rickards:  Inflation-deflation tug-of-war means more QE; Santelli & Schiff: “A messy exit is a given… Ending QE will plunge U.S. into severe recession”

Peak Prosperity/Wolf Street:  How the Fed is purposely attacking savers – But bungling badly as it does; Designated losers of monetary policy

Wall Street on Parade/Confounded Interest:  Yellen -  Average net worth of 62 million U.S. households is $11,000; Worries that bottom 90% of Americans don’t own enough assets

China Gold: Production to Slow, Imports to Grow

Posted by on October 18th 2014 in Bart Chilton, CFTC, China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, India, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

ChinaGoldProduction

The growth in Chinese gold mine output is expected to drop from 6% this year to about 1% in 2018, says the analytics firm Business Monitor International.  It attributes the decrease to declining ore grades and waning profitability, which, reports Reuters, “will pave the way for rising imports to meet persistent strength in demand from Chinese consumers,” according to an analyst for the company.

And on Thursday, MarketWatch cited a note suggesting that “support for gold may come from seasonal demand out of India ahead of this month’s religious festivals, wrote strategists at Commerzbank in Frankfurt. September Indian trade data showed gold imports soared by 450% year-over-year to $3.75 billion, they said, which indicates Indian consumers haven’t been deterred from buying large quantities of gold by import restrictions. ‘If this should turn into a trend, it would doubtless lend support to the gold price,’ they said.”

See also:

SilverSeek/Reuters: Gold and silver end mixed on the week; Gold posts weekly gain on economic fears, U.S. Fed view

Mineweb:  Lawrence Williams:  The sky is falling! Should you buy gold and silver?

Zero Hedge:  Yellen translated – “Let them eat cake“; Calling the Fed’s bluff

Alasdair Macleod/GoldPrice.org:  Market Report: Gold benefits from market uncertainty; Price climbed over two crucial resistance levels this week

Mining.com/King One Eye:  Extreme precious metal shorting peaks; Why gold will keep shining

PTTM/MarketWatch/Bloomberg:  Former CFTC crusader Bart Chilton says he doesn’t feel bad in heart in shift to HFT advocate

Wall Street on Parade:  New book – Sen. Charles Schumer was regular visitor to Madoff offices

Silver Seen Gaining on Gold

Posted by on October 17th 2014 in CFTC, China, CME Group, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, Interest Rates, Monetary Policy, Quants, Short Sellers, Silver, USD, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

G:Sratiodrop

With the gold/silver ratio at 71.4 on Thursday, Bloomberg‘s “Chart of the Day,” from 2012 on in the above, cites a forecast by UBS that has the ratio falling to 65.6 in 12 months. That calculation is based on UBS’s bearish forecast of $16 for silver and $1,050 for gold. According to one of the bank’s Singapore-based analysts, the gold/silver ratio currently “stands near crisis levels, which ignores the fact that economic activity next year should accelerate, with developed markets advancing and emerging ones moderating somewhat. Increases in silver ETFs suggest that the holding power of silver investors is immense and the metal still attracts physical investors.”  More from Mineweb‘s Lawrence Williams:  “Expect big silver price surge if gold stays positive.”

See also:

SilverSeek/Coin News:  Gold and silver end mixed as stocks stabilize; U.S. Mint sales – Core sets and Silver Eagles lead

Jesse’s Café Américain:  Cap, cap, cap – The fingerprints of officialdom were all over the markets today; Fed’s Bullard and the Plunge Protection Team to the rescue

WSJ/David Stockman:  Bullard says he would consider continuing QE after October; Now comes the “specter of deflation” – The money printers’ latest scam

Pragmatic CapitalismSo much for rate increases…

TF Metals Report/Alhambra Partners:  The current cap in gold; Another reminder gold is not often as it seems

Reuters/Businessweek:  45% of Americans say avoiding international air travel; America’s Ebola preppers go shopping for Clorox

Ebolisis

Metals Shrug Off Stock Selloff

Posted by on October 16th 2014 in CFTC, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, India, Interest Rates, Short Sellers, Silver, Wall Street | Be the first to comment!

DowPlunge

Gold and silver prices continued their steady advance on Wednesday, with futures gaining 0.9% and 0.4% respectively as the Dow ended down 173 points, despite a late-session surge, and the U.S. dollar hit a five-week low.  Before stocks reversed course, Dan Norcini noted that gold “has been able to shrug off the selling pressure coming in from those selling it to cover losses in stocks but is having some difficulty getting through the $1250 level. Silver is being drug lower by copper but getting some buying related to gold’s good showing.” He concludes that given “the current equity weakness, unless we get some dose of economic data that is surprisingly strong … gold is drawing support from ideas that any notion of the Fed raising interest rates soon is effectively DOA for the time being.”

See also:

Confounded Interest/MarketWatch:  Stock market’s ‘Bloody Mary Morning‘; Tumultuous stock market plagued by ‘mini flash crashes

Short Side of Long/Telegraph:  Crude signaling weak economy; World economy so damaged it may need permanent QE

Seeking Alpha:  Why low interest rates are giving gold the buy signal; Trouble looming for the U.S., but not gold

Zero Hedge/Sovereign ManAll that is broken with the U.S. financial system in one chart; One simple chart to explain the defining problem of our times

Bloomberg/Mineweb:  Gold imports by India seen rising more than fourfold last month; Imports at a new high

Financial Times/GATA:  Swiss National Bank fights to block public gold vote; Gold stubs SNB’s toe, and the Financial Times says ‘ouch!

Metals Trade In Narrow Range; More Upside Ahead?

Posted by on October 15th 2014 in CFTC, CME Group, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, JPMorgan, Short Sellers, Syria, Ted Butler, USD, Wall Street | 1 comment

MetalsUpsideAhead

Gold and silver futures gained 0.3% each on Tuesday, while spot prices fell a similar percentage, reports Reuters, noting that global growth anxieties “sent U.S. 30-year bond yields below 3 percent for the first time since May 2013, while benchmark 10-year yields fell to a 16-month low of 2.18 percent. ‘U.S. Treasury yields at these levels are not pointing to a rosy economy,’” according to a COMEX gold options trader, who predicted that “Gold and silver should have more upside after they have spent a long time in the bear market.”

See also:

MarketWatch/Coin News:  Global growth concerns bring gold new shine; Gold nears 4-week high; Silver Eagle sales top 35 million y-t-d

Daily Reckoning/Seeking Alpha:  Jim Rickards   A win-win scenario for gold investors; Silver to rocket but when?

Gold Silver Worlds:  Ted Butler’s silver price outlook – Why this time could be different

Reuters/SRSrocco Report: Silver price-fixing lawsuits consolidated in Manhattan federal court; Bankers manipulation of gold & silver – Proof in the demand data

Wall Street on Parade/IRD:  The stock market has lost confidence in central banks as gods; Is the money printing facade cracking?

Zero Hedge:  What the Fed does next; The QE4 countdown has begun

‘Oversold’ Metals ‘Bounce Firmly Off Support’

Posted by on October 11th 2014 in China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, India, Interest Rates, Short Sellers, Silver, USD, Wall Street | 1 comment

MetalsBounceBack

Gold stalled out on Friday, falling a fraction of a percent as the U.S. dollar rebounded, but silver inched up and both metals gained on the week, with gold adding about 2.7% and silver advancing 3.2%. In his weekly market report, Alasdair Macleod writes that “This week more than any other it became clear that the global economy is stalling,” which is “creating a two-way pull for gold and silver. Declining commodity prices coupled with a strong dollar have hit both precious metals hard since mid-August,” but gold and silver “have become oversold and as a result have bounced firmly off support at $1180 and $16.75 respectively.”

See also:

Coin News/Numismaster:  Gold, silver and U.S. Mint gold coin sales surge on week; Silver Eagle rationing on the horizon?

BullionVault/SafeHavenDitch dollars, buy gold. For now.; U.S. dollar super-overbought

Jesse’s Café Américain:  Wall Street says gold & silver are dodgy investments, but stocks & bond are such values?

Natural News:  Super-rich class scrambles to buy gold bars amid uncertainties in global fiat currency

Reuters/Bullion Star:  Chinese gold buying picks up after holiday, Indian premiums rise; Hawalla money transfer system plays intricate part in Indian gold smuggling

The Australian/Patrick Heller:  Bullion price will rise to meet ‘peak’ gold next year; Gold for profit or wealth preservation?

Metals Extend Post-Fed Gains as Stocks Sink

Posted by on October 10th 2014 in Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, India, Interest Rates, Quants, Short Sellers, Silver, USD, Wall Street | 1 comment

SchizoStocks

Gold and silver futures decoupled from the whipsawing stock market on Thursday, gaining 1.6% and 2.1% respectively. “Gold is benefiting from a flight to quality as the stock market is heading into a correction,” according to a Comex trader quoted by Reuters, who added that “Both gold and silver appear to be bottoming out after they have been in a bear market for a long period of time.”

And MarketWatch cites the namesake of a Montreal-based research firm, Lamoureux and Co., who “said that he’s telling clients the Fed has no interest in increasing rates whatsoever. And that’s a positive for gold.”  It goes on to quote Lamoureux as declaring:  “We are super gold bulls now and think we have entered a new commodities bull cycle.”

See also:

StockCharts.com/CNBC:  Gold bouncing off support; Buy gold now, trader says

SilverSeek:  U.S. Mint record Silver Eagle sales – the best all year

Zero Hedge:  Did Thursday’s “Satan signal” in S&P futures give the ‘all-clear’ for selling to begin?

Pragmatic Capitalism/Bloomberg:  What will be the most likely cause of the next big downturn?; Jim Rickards – Fundamental U.S. economy is very weak

Sharps Pixley/GATA:  Is Switzerland about to purchase 1500 tonnes of gold?; Swiss vote on central bank gold could limit manipulation

Vancouverdesi.com:  India accused of acting like a gold sponge, soaking up world’s gold reserves

Metals Surge With Stocks on ‘Decidedly Dovish’ Fed

Posted by on October 9th 2014 in Bitcoin, CFTC, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, Interest Rates, Short Sellers, Silver, USD, Wall Street | 1 comment

FedMinutes09:14

Spot gold and silver reversed losses on Wednesday to end with gains of about 1% after the release of September’s FOMC minutes, at which point the precious metal and equity markets were said to have “headed north like scalded cats, because of the decidedly dovish flavor of the Fed talk.”  The minutes found “a number of participants” noting that “economic growth over the medium term might be slower than they expected if foreign economic growth came in weaker than anticipated.”

“We’ve seen a fundamental shift here from the Fed where everything was leaning toward being hawkish a month ago to seeing the Fed a little more cautious and open to keeping monetary policy relatively loose for an extended period of time.” according to a commodity analyst quoted by Bloomberg.  It also cites an economist as saying, “Not only are they not ready to raise rates, they don’t even want people to think they’re ready to raise rates, so it’s not even on the radar screen.” The Dow had its best day of the year, which Reformed Broker Josh Brown lampoons with the above chart and the headline:  “Stocks explode higher on fears of renewed economic weakness.”

See also:

Reuters/Zero Hedge:  U.S. Fed frets over strong dollar, global woes; Panic buying ensues after FOMC minutes unleash weaker dollar

Dan Norcini:  FOMC minutes chasing gold bears out; Silver showing some signs of bottoming?

Profit Confidential/Arabian MoneyA rational look at silver; Bitcoin speculators being crushed will they now move into silver?

Wolf Street:  The calm before the storm in the gold market

MWC News/GATA: Towards one quadrillion U.S. dollars in derivatives; Financial Times – Banks plan to write off derivatives when a counterparty fails

Of Two Minds:  Crony capitalism is kryptonite to democracy and the real economy

Gold Logs Safe-Haven Win on IMF Trim

Posted by on October 8th 2014 in China, Federal Reserve, General Economy, Gold, IMF, Interest Rates, Short Sellers, Silver, USD, Wall Street | 1 comment

IMForecast

Spot gold and silver ended mixed on Tuesday, with gold gaining 0.4% to continue its rebound and silver easing 0.3%, but silver futures did add a penny.  Gold’s safe-haven appeal was seen increasing after Germany reported a dramatic 4% drop in industrial production from July, the biggest decline since 2009, and the IMF again lowered its global growth forecast for 2014 and 2015.  It also warned that financial markets “may have underpriced risks by not fully internalizing the uncertainties around the global outlook. A larger-than-expected increase  in U.S. long-term interest rates, geopolitical events, or major growth disappointments could trigger widespread disruption.”

See also:

P. Radomski:  Gold & silver trading alert – Huge reversal in USD and gold – finally!

GoldCore/SafeHaven:  Silver “particularly cheap” with “blood on the commodity streets”; Silver extremes say look at me

The Australian/USA Today:  Shanghai gold surprise in store; China currency push takes aim at dollar

GATA:  Tocqueville’s Hathaway: China has it right about gold and the dollar, in his Q3 letter to investors

Seeking Alpha/Reuters:  Fed’s Kocherlakota – Forget rake hikes in 2015;  It’s a ‘wintry economy‘ out there

David Stockman:  Inside September’s “born again” jobs report